Us Recession 2024 Probability Analysis. The conference board predicts a 96 percent likelihood of a recession in the us within the next 12 months, based on our probability model. After holding the odds at.
Recession in the first half of 2024 and a whopping 175 basis points of rate cuts, with lower borrowing costs driving the s&p 500. Us inflation, which peaked at 9.1% in june 2022, fell slightly from 3.4% in december to 3.1% in january, still above the target of around 2%.
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